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London's Housing Inventory Just Hit a New High. Here's What That Actually Means

6.3 months of supply is the most this market has carried on record. The board's own numbers say it's a buyer's market now, not a balanced one.

Stephen Green Mortgage Broker··6 min read
London's Housing Inventory Just Hit a New High. Here's What That Actually Means

The short version

  • London and St. Thomas recorded 526 home sales in August, with inventory reaching a new peak of 6.3 months, according to the London and St. Thomas Association of REALTORS.
  • The sales-to-new-listings ratio fell to 37.5% in August from 44.5% in July. CREA generally treats a ratio between 45% and 65% as a balanced market, so this sits below that band.
  • The average sales price across LSTAR's coverage area was $590,550 in August.
  • London East and St. Thomas both posted higher average prices month-over-month even as the region-wide ratio pointed toward buyers — a reminder that an area-wide average and a specific neighbourhood can move in different directions in the same month.
  • LSTAR's chair pointed to a new provincial survey showing housing affordability is a top issue heading into the 2026 municipal elections, which is the policy backdrop this data is landing in.

What LSTAR Reported

The London and St. Thomas Association of REALTORS titled its own August release 'Housing Inventory Hits New High' — not subtle, and not wrong.

According to LSTAR's published statistics, 526 homes changed hands across the London and St. Thomas market area in August, and inventory closed the month at 6.3 months of supply — the highest level the board has recorded. “Historically, we have seen slower sales activity in the summer, but the August numbers are on par with activity over the past four years,” said LSTAR's 2026 chair, Robin Tiller, in the board's release.

The sales-to-new-listings ratio, which measures how much of what's listed is actually selling, came in at 37.5% for August, down from 44.5% in July. The Canadian Real Estate Association generally treats a ratio between 45% and 65% as consistent with a balanced market. Below that points toward conditions favouring buyers, which is exactly how Tiller characterized it: “The activity in August showed signs of a buyers' market.”

One Average Price, Several Different Stories Underneath It

The average sales price across all LSTAR regions was $590,550 in August. That is an average across the whole coverage area, and LSTAR's own release flags why it can be misleading taken on its own: two sub-areas actually moved higher month-over-month even as the overall market leaned toward buyers.

In London East, the August average price was $489,735, up from $456,416 in July. In St. Thomas, it was $557,485, up from $500,819. Both are increases in the average sales price specifically — which reflects the mix of what sold that month, and can move for reasons that have nothing to do with the underlying value of any one property. LSTAR distinguishes this from its benchmark price, a separate measure designed to track a 'typical home' over time without being skewed by which properties happened to sell.

The takeaway isn't that London East or St. Thomas are suddenly hot while the rest of the market cools. It's that an area-wide average, in either direction, tells you less about your specific street than a local comparison would.

The Affordability Backdrop

LSTAR tied its release to a wider conversation: “We know that housing affordability will be one of the top issues in the 2026 municipal elections,” Tiller said, pointing to new research from the Ontario Real Estate Association, conducted by Abacus Data and released September 1, showing broad public support for policies that speed up housing approvals and expand housing options.

LSTAR also cited a 2025 Altus Group study estimating that the average Ontario housing transaction generates roughly $124,200 in spin-off spending — legal fees, appraisals, moving costs, renovations and the like. Applied to August's 526 sales, Tiller put that at approximately $65 million circulating through the London-area economy in a single month, separate from the value of the homes themselves.

What This Means If You're Buying or Selling in London

For a buyer, 6.3 months of supply and a sub-45% sales-to-listings ratio both point the same direction: more room to negotiate, and less pressure to waive conditions to compete. That does not mean every property is priced to move — a well-priced home in a sought-after pocket of London East can still draw competing offers even in a market like this.

For a seller, this is a market where pricing against the current comparables in your specific area, not last spring's numbers or the region-wide average, matters more than it did two years ago. A property sitting for weeks with no showings is usually a pricing signal in a market carrying this much inventory.

Either way, what a purchase actually costs to close and to carry depends on your own numbers. Our mortgage calculators cover purchase payment, closing costs and land transfer tax specific to Ontario, and if you're buying your first home in the area, First Home Hub covers the down payment rules and regional assistance programs that apply in southwestern Ontario.

Stephen Green, Mortgage Broker
Stephen Green
Founder & Mortgage Broker · The Financial Collective

Nearly thirty years in Canadian financial services, based in Waterloo Region and working across Ontario. Most people are handed a product — you deserve a plan.

Figures cited are drawn from the London and St. Thomas Association of REALTORS' published August 2026 statistics and describe regional aggregates, not any individual property. Everything here is general information only, illustrative, and subject to full qualification, lender approval and final terms.

Sources: London and St. Thomas Association of REALTORS — August 2026 statistics, via CREA

Common Questions

Questions people ask about this

Is London, Ontario a buyer's market right now?

LSTAR's own August release described conditions as showing signs of a buyer's market, based on a sales-to-new-listings ratio of 37.5% and inventory at a record 6.3 months. Conditions vary by specific neighbourhood and property type within that.

Why did prices go up in London East and St. Thomas if the overall market favours buyers?

LSTAR reported those as average sales prices, which reflect the specific mix of homes that sold that month rather than a broad shift in value. The board's benchmark price, a separate measure, is designed to track typical home values over time without that distortion.

What does 'months of supply' actually mean?

It's an estimate of how long it would take to sell every home currently listed at the current pace of sales. A higher number generally means more choice for buyers and less competitive pressure; a lower number generally means the opposite.

How do I know what I can afford in London right now?

That depends on your income, existing debt, and the specific property — not the area-wide average. Running your numbers through a pre-qualification or our calculators gives you a real figure to shop against.

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